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ESSAY

Grid-to-Chip: The AI Power Buildout, Mapped

The AI power buildout runs on two parallel chains and one overlay. Power chain: five stages from generator (P1) to transistor (P5). Heat chain: four stages from die (H1) to atmosphere (H4). AC-to-DC overlay across P3-P5. Cross-cutting layers for storage-and-decoupling and control-and-orchestration.

26 August 2026 · 30 min read
ESSAY

Solid-State Transformers in 2026: Heron, DG Matrix, and the MV Bottleneck at the AI Factory Perimeter

Solid-state transformers moved from academic research to commercial category in 2026. Two demand drivers created the opening: Nvidia 800V DC AI factory pull (MGX 800V racks H2 2026; native 2027) and constrained conventional MV transformer supply (48-60+ month lead times reported). Primary spotlight

26 August 2026 · 58 min read
ESSAY ·Due Diligence for the AI Buildout

Capex, growth economics, and projection stress-testing

Capex per dollar of revenue growth, incremental vs average unit economics, three downside scenarios, compound stress, and the refinancing risk on 2020-2022 vintage debt.

26 August 2026 · 27 min read
ESSAY

Empower Semiconductor: What ADI Bought for $1.5 Billion

ADI acquired Empower Semiconductor for $1.5B in July 2026. The deep-dive: what the acquisition actually buys (ECAP silicon capacitors, FinFast IVR platform, Crescendo kilowatt-class vertical power delivery), the four-way on-package contest with Ferric, PowerLattice, and Vicor, the Marvell PIVR ecos

25 August 2026 · 30 min read
ESSAY ·Due Diligence for the AI Buildout

Quality of earnings and working capital DD

The workstream testing whether reported financials describe the underlying business. Add-back discipline, dynamic working capital modelling, and the OEM balance-sheet financing that CIMs under-disclose.

25 August 2026 · 28 min read
ESSAY ·Due Diligence for the AI Buildout

Manufacturing, IP, and supply chain DD

Capacity vs demand, yield analysis, IP audit across four categories, and tier 1/tier 2 supply chain audit. Where technical DD tests the product, this workstream tests the business making it.

24 August 2026 · 29 min read
ESSAY ·Due Diligence for the AI Buildout

Seller-side prep: the DD workbook you should have ready

The fourteen workstreams inverted for the target. Not a data-room checklist — a seller-side self-diligence and buyer-simulation system. Run the buyer's questions on yourself before the buyer asks. Includes the CIM Claim Register, five-part remediation taxonomy, and DD-ready test.

23 August 2026 · 20 min read
ESSAY ·Due Diligence for the AI Buildout

The Question Banks

The interrogation layer of the DD framework. Not a checklist. 250 candidate questions organised by workstream and AI Power Chain layer, designed to branch as findings emerge. WS01 activates the right subset. Includes the Killer 42.

23 August 2026 · 25 min read
FRAMEWORK ·Case Studies

Crusoe / Stargate Abilene: RESTRUCTURE, with the concentration risk that later materialised

The Investment Layer scorecard flagged single-tenant concentration risk on the Oracle-OpenAI structure pre-close. In March 2026 that exact risk materialised. Oracle and OpenAI dropped the expansion; Microsoft stepped in to lease the dropped capacity. RESTRUCTURE, with realized-prediction validation.

23 August 2026 · 6 min read
FRAMEWORK ·Case Studies

CoreWeave $2.6bn DDTL: the amber worked example on the uncontracted-principal veto

The wired-recourse mechanic in market-tested form. High uncontracted principal at maturity, but CoreWeave's parent guarantee absorbs at Ba2/BB+ corporate credit. AMBER on the framework's 2x2, not RED. The distinction most credit coverage misses.

23 August 2026 · 6 min read
FRAMEWORK ·Case Studies

Blackstone + CPP / AirTrunk: what UNDERWRITE looks like on the framework

Walking the September 2024 Blackstone + CPP acquisition of AirTrunk through both AI infrastructure scorecards. LOW physical + LOW thesis + GREEN veto = UNDERWRITE (Premier). The calibration anchor for what a clean deal scores on the framework.

23 August 2026 · 4 min read
ESSAY ·Due Diligence for the AI Buildout

Product architecture and technology DD

Three tests: current product against customer specs, roadmap credibility by evidence tier, differentiation audit against decision thresholds. Plus bench work priorities per layer.

23 August 2026 · 30 min read
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Written by Adi Kumar · Privacy