The three downside cases
Three distinct scenarios in which the AI infrastructure investment map compresses, with transmission mechanisms, asset exposures, and signals to watch. Part VII of The Investment Layer.
Three distinct scenarios in which the AI infrastructure investment map compresses, with transmission mechanisms, asset exposures, and signals to watch. Part VII of The Investment Layer.
The structures, spreads, covenants and rating criteria that determine how $200+ billion of AI infrastructure debt gets priced, and where the underwriting is soft. Part VI of The Investment Layer.
Five recognisable PE playbooks across the six AI infrastructure layers, their return profiles, and the three platform theses being constructed. Part V of The Investment Layer.
Where equity research concentrates, where it misses the material stories, and what the coverage gap tells you about where mispricing sits. Part IV of The Investment Layer.
Hyperscalers moved from majority-owned to majority-leased over seven years. The developer stack that made it possible, and where the return arithmetic breaks. Part III of The Investment Layer.
Every material deal 2023-2026 across the six layers of AI infrastructure, four through-lines that describe them, and fifteen forward candidates by name. Part II of The Investment Layer.
Six pools of capital finance the AI infrastructure buildout: hyperscaler cash flow, REITs, OEM balance sheets, structured debt, sovereign, and PE. Part I of The Investment Layer.
An installed base generates maintenance work whether or not the manufacturer does it. Two conditions decide who captures the annuity: the customer's capability gap, and defensibility against independents. Seven positions across the AI infrastructure chain.
Shortage is not the same as pricing power. Ten commercial positions across the AI infrastructure chain, sorted by the two conditions that determine whether scarcity converts to margin: how expensive escape is for the buyer, and whether qualified rivals decline to undercut.
300+ vendors across 6 stacks. Capacitors, wide-bandgap, thermal, interconnect, on-package delivery, modular DC. With a weighted diligence rank you can re-weight live. Filter by geography, size, public/private. Download as CSV.
Skid architectures, BESS integration, MV switchgear, busway and rack topologies for the modular hyperscale datacenter build.
How the AI datacenter building gets built: modular skids, BESS, UPS, busway, rack enclosures. Where PE has deployed and where returns compress.